Pavlo Rizanenko, a member of the Ukrainian parliament, told USA Today that Ukraine may have to arm itself with its own nuclear weapons if the United States and other world leaders do not respect their end of agreement. He said: “We have given up nuclear weapons because of this agreement. Now there is a strong feeling in Ukraine that we have made a big mistake.  He also said: “In the future, no matter how the situation in Crimea is resolved, we need a much stronger Ukraine. If you have nuclear weapons, people don`t invade you.  The agreement, announced here at the NATO summit and to be signed Friday in Moscow, must survive the potentially serious resistance of nationalist factions opposed to the elimination of weapons and control of the Ukrainian parliament. But if it survives the attack, the deal will represent a significant step forward for U.S. policy of reducing nuclear proliferation. In February 2014, Russian forces captured or blocked various airports and other strategic locations in Crimea.  The troops were assigned to the Russian Black Sea Fleet stationed in Crimea, in violation of the Budapest Memorandum. The Russian Foreign Ministry had confirmed the movement of armored units of the Black Sea Fleet into Crimea, but claimed that they were acting within the framework of the various agreements between the two countries.
Other official Russian sources denied that the units on the territory of Sevastopol International Airport were affiliated with the Black Sea Fleet.  Russia responded by supporting a referendum on whether Crimea should join. Russia announced that the referendums would be conducted by “local forces.” On 16 March, Russia annexed Crimea and Ukraine vigorously protested against this action in violation of Article 1 of the Budapest Memorandum. It was also a reminder that not so long ago, Ukraine had the third largest fleet of ICBMs in the world – as well as the third largest nuclear arsenal. In 1994, Kiev agreed to hand over its nuclear arsenal to Russia for dismantling in exchange for certain obligations, including respect for the sovereignty of the former Soviet state. This agreement became known as the Budapest Memorandum on Security Guarantees. And today, Moscow`s actions in Crimea blatantly violate those commitments.  For the origins and beginnings of CTR implementation, see Ashton B. Carter and William J. Perry, Preventive Defense: A New Security Strategy for America (Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Press, 1999). The Budapest Memorandum on Security Assurances refers to three identical political agreements signed at the OSCE Conference in Budapest, Hungary, on 5 December 1994 to provide security assurances by the signatories in the context of the accession of Belarus, Kazakhstan and Ukraine to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons. The memorandum was originally signed by three nuclear Powers: the Russian Federation, the United Kingdom and the United States.
China and France gave slightly weaker individual assurances in separate documents.  In the same year, Yeltsin sent a letter to Clinton (and the leaders of the United Kingdom, France, and Germany) vehemently opposing NATO expansion when it came to admitting former Soviet states while excluding Russia. This, he predicted, would “indeed undermine Europe`s security.” The following year, he publicly clashed with Clinton, warning that such an expansion would “sow the seeds of mistrust” and “plunge post-Cold War Europe into a cold peace.” The US president rejected his objections: the decision to offer the former parts of the Soviet Union membership in the first wave of expansion of the alliance in 1999 had already been taken. President Clinton on Monday announced an agreement with Ukraine and Russia to dismantle Ukraine`s entire nuclear arsenal, hailing the long-sought deal as “a historic and hopeful breakthrough that increases the security of the three participants.” Russia has long stationed elements of the Black Sea Fleet and related units in Crimea – with the approval of Ukraine. Kiev has not issued any threats against these bases, and the Ukrainian armed forces on the peninsula have shown great restraint. Moscow has no basis for claiming self-defense and, in fact, has not invoked the right to self-defense. The Russian government, which generally insists that military measures other than self-defense can only be implemented with the consent of the UN Security Council, has not requested such authorization. Instead, the Russian representative to the UN was castigated by his counterparts for the Russian conquest of Crimea. Although Ukraine continued to fear that Russia would not be fully reconciled with the new international border, the deal lasted two decades, even though Russia expressed concerns about NATO`s expansion. Vladimir Putin, who succeeded Boris Yeltsin as president in late 1999, first expressed this concern at the 2007 Munich Security Conference, accusing NATO of going to the borders to integrate the former soviet union`s states and satellites and invading the United States, accusing it of placing itself above international law and triggering a new arms race through its unilateral actions. Alexander A. Shalnev, a columnist for the Russian newspaper Izvestia, expressed doubts about Kravchuk`s ability to win parliamentary support.
“It is very unlikely that Kravchuk will succeed in advocating for the deal in the Ukrainian parliament,” he said. “In his efforts to reach an agreement with the United States, he must always make concessions to the opposition. I am not sure that this attempt will be much more successful than the previous ones. Kravchuk`s press service announced Late Monday that an agreement had been reached to hold a “consultative meeting” between Kravchuk and Clinton in Kiev on Wednesday and a trilateral summit with Clinton, Kravchuk and Russian President Boris N. Yeltsin in Moscow on Friday. Russia`s annexation of Crimea in 2014 was a clear violation of the Budapest Agreement and the first major test of its security guarantee for Ukraine. Although Moscow signed the agreement, it did not participate in the consultations and vetoed a resolution against annexation in the UN Security Council. The United States imposed sanctions on Russia, but Europe continued to do business with it. Russian officials offered a new defense because they had not fulfilled the duty to consult.
They said they had not signed the Budapest Memorandum with the current government in Kiev. But the deal is between the US, Russia, Ukraine and Britain – not between specific governments. If this bizarre diplomatic logic were applied more generally, states would have to re-sign any agreement they have with another state if that state changes government. The Budapest Memorandum is more of a politically binding agreement than a legally binding treaty. Yet former Ukrainian officials in power at the time called it crucial to Kiev`s decision to give up nuclear weapons. Ukraine, politically and economically unstable since it became an independent state after the dissolution of the Soviet Union, has 176 intercontinental ballistic missiles armed with about 1,240 nuclear warheads – all directed against the United States. It also has 592 nuclear warheads on board bombers that would be covered by the agreement. Under the agreement, the United States, Russia and Britain will provide security assurances to Ukraine if it renounces its weapons and becomes a supporter of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. Ukraine will also receive financial support for the dismantling of weapons, as well as compensation for the release of highly enriched uranium into warheads, which can be converted into fuel for civilian nuclear reactors. Announcing both the Partnership for Peace plan and the trilateral agreement with Ukraine and Russia, Clinton said, “We have taken two huge steps toward greater security for the United States.” Ukraine`s prospects for NATO membership remain far-fetched and disagreements remain over the conditions set out in the Budapest Memorandum.
The Ukrainian military and defense establishment is nevertheless actively working with its Western partners to combine NATO best practices with combat experience in the Donbass to strengthen Ukraine`s internal defense capabilities, according to Colonel Hennadiy Kovalenko, a staff officer at NATO`s Allied Command for Transformation headquarters. Gottemoeller stressed that cooperation between NATO and Ukraine is not a one-way street: the Alliance draws many lessons from Ukraine`s experience in a hybrid war with Russia. When the four parties signed the memorandum in 1994, they agreed to meet if a nation felt that any of the commitments had been violated. For Ukraine, of course, the hurtful country is Russia. And for the first time since the signing of the agreement, Kiev has called for a meeting of the four nations. On 5 December 1994, the Heads of State or Government of the United States, the United Kingdom and the Russian Federation met in Budapest, Hungary, to pledge security assurances to Ukraine in the context of its accession to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) as a non-nuclear-weapon State. .